MarketExperiments

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Markets Inside Companies

This page based on a blog post. It has been updated since then. Chris Masse's year end summary of Prediction Markets activity for 2004 gave a pointer to an article from Time Magazine back in July that I had skimmed earlier. When I looked at it again, I found references to internal markets at Microsoft, Eli Lilly, and Intel that I hadn't noticed before. It seems worth the time to gather together references to all the internal market experiments I've heard about, since most of them haven't been written up formally as far as I've been able to tell.

CompanySubjectOrganizerReferences
HP sales level Charles Plott Time, Plott & Chen
Eli Lilly Drug efficacy Eli Lilly Time
Microsoft developer acceptance of new releases Todd Proebsting Time
Intel * assignment of chip production to plants Tom Malone Time
British Petroleum * Pollution Credit trading internal Tom Malone: The Future of Work
Siemens software development scheduling Gerhard Ortner Ortner
Google software schedules, product deployment Bo Cowgill, et. al Google Blog
Corning, Arcelor unknown Emile Servan-Schreiber MarginalRevolution Blog
Rite-Solutions product ideas, suggestion box internal Home Page (look under Strokes of Genius:Innovation Engine), NYTimes
unnamed german mobile phone company usage levels of new phone models Spann & Skiera Internet-Based Virtual Stock Markets for Business Forecasting
  • The BP case was trading internal pollution credits, and the Intel case was an experiment rather than a full scale-deployment; all the others seem to have been Prediction Markets.

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